Brady state report cards are in... - Page 5 - XDTalk Forums - Your HS2000/SA-XD Information Source!

j2fast · 03-09-2006, 04:38 PM

I happily reside in the land of the D's; I live in WV but OH & PA are just a few miles in either direction.

[/u]

XD2005 · 03-09-2006, 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mcb

This thread inspired me to do some fast (not so fast) and sloppy science. I looked up the firearms related deaths for each state and compared that to the Brady Campaign's violence prevention grade and came to the conclusion that the grade has nearly no correlation to firearms related deaths. ie a state with a high grade does not seem to have a reduce firearms related death compared to a state with a low grade.

Basically the grade 14=A+ 0=F- across the X axis and firearms related homicide in deaths per 100,000 people on the Y axis. Each data point on the plot is a state. I then did a linear regression. If there was a high correlation between the Brady grade and Homicide the R2 value on the graph would have been nearly 1. If there is a no correlation between the Brady grade and Homicide number the R2 number would be near 0. As you can see it not very close to 1.

What does this mean? Probably not much since it was not a very scientific study by myself but then again probably not much less than Brady Campaign's grade for each state.

For slightly more info I have sources for the data in the graph on my blog: http://mcb-homis.livejournal.com/

Ramblin' big time on this one
mcb

Don't mean to burst your bubble...but just a couple comments.

First, correct me if I am wrong, but in your blog you state the homicide data is from 1998? With all due respect, taking data for something 7-8 years ago and trying to tie to something current doesn't really work.

Second, you would have to look at more than just homicides. What about manslaughter? Accidental shootings?.....you get the point. I may be wrong, but I understand the Brady people look at more than just homicides, they look at accidents and such as well.

All in all, while I like the graph, I really think we're comparing apple to oranges here...just my $.02

brian40 · 03-09-2006, 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mcb

Nebraska B-

mcb

Yeah I know. But hey we got the Huskers right!!!!!

Oh yeah, they suck now too

rmw · 03-09-2006, 06:59 PM

In Mi we got a D+ , they are talking about passing the castle doctrine like in Fl . Hopefully that will get us to a solid F . This would be the first time in my life I would be proud to get an F . I thought the liberals thought grading was to harsh ?

Iniquity · 03-09-2006, 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 'Card

Hmmmm... I am not pleased. My current state of residence (NC) got a C

Yuppers, A C for my state .. Not tooooo bad

and Wow mcb that's some good statistical goodness!

Matt`G · 03-10-2006, 10:36 AM

Bahahaha, they gave Vermont and F- for CCW. I didn't know such a grade existed, but hooray to them for achieving it!

jednp · 03-10-2006, 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brian40

Quote:

Originally Posted by mcb

Nebraska B-

mcb

Yeah I know. But hey we got the Huskers right!!!!!

Oh yeah, they suck now too

Well if bad grades are a plus here... Then the huskers as of lately rate around the D- range hah. hopefully that's gonna change.

03-09-2006, 04:38 PM	#41
j2fast XDTalk 100 Member Join Date: Feb 2005 Location: Northern WV Posts: 456	I happily reside in the land of the D's; I live in WV but OH & PA are just a few miles in either direction. [/u] __________________ ----The trick lies in firing at the earliest moment in which the bullet will hit the target - not in trying to make the bullet hit the target in a specific place. Brian Enos

03-10-2006, 10:36 AM	#46
Matt`G XDTalk 500 Member Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: Michigan Posts: 602	Bahahaha, they gave Vermont and F- for CCW. I didn't know such a grade existed, but hooray to them for achieving it! __________________ Matt G. Got Jabber? matt [ at ] accordingtomatt [ dot ] com

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode

03-09-2006, 06:59 PM	#44
rmw XDTalk Newbie Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Mid Michigan Posts: 15	In Mi we got a D+ , they are talking about passing the castle doctrine like in Fl . Hopefully that will get us to a solid F . This would be the first time in my life I would be proud to get an F . I thought the liberals thought grading was to harsh ?