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Old 04-30-2008, 06:39 AM   #1
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So....when is the oil market bubble going to pop?

Seems every overpriced, overinflated market pops eventually....

I've been waiting for Oil to pop since around 2000...
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Old 04-30-2008, 06:57 AM   #2
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The only thing that is certain is that those who argue over peak oil production, argue over something that is a 20 year range. It doesn't really matter just when the peak will occur. What is in the ground is being depleted and cost effective methods are only justified by what the consumer can afford. It will eventually become an unprofitable business.
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Not just all new electricity, mind you, which would be challenging enough. But all existing electricity, too.
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Old 04-30-2008, 06:59 AM   #3
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or it just becomes too damn expensive to conduct business because gas prices are so high. Gas is needed for virtually every major aspect of business
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Old 04-30-2008, 07:12 PM   #4
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Go park the Super Duty and buy a motorcycle. Less demand = more supply and lower prices. We really do have a measure of control over this, but most folks don't want to give up their big toys. No matter what new domestic resources we tap (assuming we can shove the greenies in the closet long enough to get it done), IMO cheap gas is a thing of the past, and even though I like my V8's, it's time to start adjusting.
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Old 05-01-2008, 03:52 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kannibul View Post
Seems every overpriced, overinflated market pops eventually....

I've been waiting for Oil to pop since around 2000...
I had a nice reply thought out, but it seems Dan has beaten me to it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DanTheEldest View Post
Go park the Super Duty and buy a motorcycle. Less demand = more supply and lower prices. We really do have a measure of control over this, but most folks don't want to give up their big toys. No matter what new domestic resources we tap (assuming we can shove the greenies in the closet long enough to get it done), IMO cheap gas is a thing of the past, and even though I like my V8's, it's time to start adjusting.
The only thing Ill add is that markets like this where the commodity is necessary to our way of life dont pop. Having lived in Europe for a while and traveled extensively, there is reasoning behind this statement, and those reasons arent even close to being a reality in the US.
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Old 05-01-2008, 04:49 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kannibul View Post
Seems every overpriced, overinflated market pops eventually....

I've been waiting for Oil to pop since around 2000...

Don't hold your breath...

One start would be to make all energy speculators and oil traders ,actually pay cash on the barrell head for there "purchases" rather than let them fleece the rest of us for almost no risk. they get away with legalized robbery and no one bats an eyelash...reminds me of the Old Chicago Merchantile.

Then again...if it crashes they can always look forward to a golden parachute/bail out in the vein of the U.S. government/taxpayer backing the bonds in JP Morgan's buyout of Bear Stearns.

How's that for free markets and market driven forces correcting the imbalances all by themselves?
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Old 05-01-2008, 06:35 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DanTheEldest View Post
Go park the Super Duty and buy a motorcycle. Less demand = more supply and lower prices. We really do have a measure of control over this, but most folks don't want to give up their big toys. No matter what new domestic resources we tap (assuming we can shove the greenies in the closet long enough to get it done), IMO cheap gas is a thing of the past, and even though I like my V8's, it's time to start adjusting.
I couldn't agree more, Dan. My tentative plans within the year is to move much closer to my work (and shopping, etc), and invest in either a more efficient car, or buy a motorcycle. In my situation, it is maximizing my income.
50 miles round trip is killing me.
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Old 05-01-2008, 07:04 AM   #8
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Originally Posted by Frenchy View Post
I couldn't agree more, Dan. My tentative plans within the year is to move much closer to my work (and shopping, etc), and invest in either a more efficient car, or buy a motorcycle. In my situation, it is maximizing my income.
50 miles round trip is killing me.
I do the 50 mile round trip thing, also.
I bought a motorcycle, after being off them for about 20years, in anticipation of 5 dollar per gallon gas. When it hits that mark, my 80mpg bike will become a primary means of getting around town.
It has nothing to do with making an impact on the market, but everything to do with the impact on my expendable income.

ETA: Honestly, it was bought as a toy and $5 gas was an excuse
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Gore's nutty idea
Gore proposed last week that the United States "commit to producing 100 percent of our electricity from renewable energy and truly clean carbon-free sources within 10 years."

Not just all new electricity, mind you, which would be challenging enough. But all existing electricity, too.

Last edited by AZXD : 05-01-2008 at 07:13 AM.
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Old 05-01-2008, 08:59 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by DanTheEldest View Post
Go park the Super Duty and buy a motorcycle.
Easier said than done for many of us.
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Old 05-01-2008, 09:50 AM   #10
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When will it "pop?"

Well, Hillary and Obama plan on taxing the oil company's profits. So...seeing that most oil companies already pay more in taxes than they do their shareholders in dividends and more than that on maintenance and infrastructure to keep their refineries running...I'd say it will all "pop" when gas runs about 10-12 bucks a gallon, due to their meddling and nobody can afford to get to work.

LOL

- brickboy240

PS: doubt my math on the taxes and profits? Look up Shells profits and taxation for last year...its public record!
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